Skip to content
Published studies are shown for demonstration purposes, not because they are good or bad research. Demonstrator · items marked Example are invented · what exists today
Search

No Cash Flows, New Owners: Spot Bitcoin ETFs and the Origins of Co-movement

How this study was produced: every step of the run with the file it wrote, and everything the run used, pinned to the exact version. The address of this page is derived from its content: if anything below changed, the address would change.

DossierDemonstrationVersion 1 of the studyOpen the study

Replaced by version 2 of this study: dossier 37aca410ed871da5. The latest is version 4: dossier 1606581708e0909b. This dossier stays as it was published.

Dossiersha256:c46711b0dc073e9649d1ca81458e8a1961028c75e7e19b14fac8f5bce6d5ed2d
Dossier as JSON

Paper, data and code of the study

Run settings

e2er
version 0.8.2 · code at f59c79fda8bf
Template
empirical · single pass
Governance
full
AI backend
claude_code
Models
claude_code/claude-sonnet-4-5
Exported
20260911
e2er code
no local changes at run time

Input data

SHA-256 of the data files, as recorded in the study's provenance.

  • ·data/data_dictionary.json 3b54e0ba6277
  • ·data/data_summary.md 285377de56fb

Data used

This version does not record its data sources.

Workflow (20 steps)

The run in order, from the run's own record. Each specialist step shows the model and the file it wrote; the hash value is the SHA-256 of that file in the exported folder. Checks that stopped a step are listed where they happened: 1 here.

1 researcher decision or stop · 0 actions · 1 stop · 0 approved deviations · 0 failures

Initial 10 steps · idea developer, literature scanner, identification strategist and 5 more · 09:48–10:29 · 1 check failed
  1. idea developer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 09:48–09:50 design/paper_plan.md a480534a2cc7
  2. literature scanner · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 09:50–09:55 design/literature_review.md e519715654e6
  3. identification strategist · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 09:55–09:58 design/identification_strategy.md 42aa7aa611a4
  4. data architect · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 09:58–10:02 data/data_dictionary.json 3b54e0ba6277
  5. data analyst · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:02–10:08 data/data_summary.md 285377de56fb
  6. econometrics specialist · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:08–10:18 design/econometric_spec.md ae90ccb7350c
  7. Check: contracts failed, step stopped and ran again
    What the check foundpaper_draft.tex: 2 inline tabular environment(s) in the draft (14 \input reference(s)) — tables must come from tables/*.tex via \input so their numbers trace to result files, not from the draft itself
  8. paper drafter · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:18–10:27 paper_draft.tex (stopped by the check above; the step ran again)
  9. abstract writer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:27–10:28 paper/abstract.tex 4e6faf86b4dd
  10. paper drafter · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:28–10:29 paper_draft.tex (revised into the paper; not in the exported folder)
Review 8 steps · mechanism reviewer, technical reviewer, literature reviewer and 3 more · 10:29–10:48
  1. Check: numbers passed
  2. Check: citations passed
  3. mechanism reviewer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:29–10:31 reviews/review_mechanism.md 98dc62fc705b
  4. technical reviewer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:31–10:35 reviews/review_technical.md c62e143a76fd
  5. literature reviewer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:35–10:37 reviews/review_literature.md 74b218dd4397
  6. writing reviewer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:37–10:41 reviews/review_writing.md 0dda5ad6e677
  7. data reviewer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:41–10:44 reviews/review_data.md db8ed1e8bca1
  8. identification reviewer · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:44–10:48 reviews/review_identification.md 6a89ce902828
Revision 1 step · patch revisor · 10:48–10:51
  1. patch revisor · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:48–10:51 misc/paper_draft.tex.edits.json ec4f6503f012
Replication 1 step · replication packager · 10:51–10:55
  1. replication packager · claude-sonnet-4-5 · 10:51–10:55 replication/estimation.py 4e1399297fee

What it was built with (57)

Each part with its authors and the version used. e2er parts are pinned by git's content hash of their file at the commit above; follow a link to read that exact version.

Templates (1)

· by e2er authors · pinned at e2er f59c79fda8bf
TemplateByPinned version
empiricale2er authors pipelines/empirical.toml blob 644be030ae31

Specialists (16)

· by e2er authors · pinned at e2er f59c79fda8bf
SpecialistByPinned version
abstract_writere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
data_analyste2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
data_architecte2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
data_reviewere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
econometrics_specialiste2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
idea_developere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
identification_reviewere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
identification_strategiste2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
literature_reviewere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
literature_scannere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
mechanism_reviewere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
paper_draftere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
patch_revisore2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
replication_packagere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
technical_reviewere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645
writing_reviewere2er authors src/core/specialists/registry.py blob ceb87d1d6645

Skills (39)

· by e2er authors · pinned at e2er f59c79fda8bf
SkillByPinned version
economiste2er authors skills/files/base/economist.md blob 19c9055fc91c
researchere2er authors skills/files/base/researcher.md blob 4ea07ba85439
identification-spec-schemae2er authors skills/files/causal-inference/identification-spec-schema.md blob ae4d68b72396
judge-designse2er authors skills/files/causal-inference/judge-designs.md blob 014da279cd53
natural-experimentse2er authors skills/files/causal-inference/natural-experiments.md blob 9a4cfc62dada
sensitivitye2er authors skills/files/causal-inference/sensitivity.md blob d8fa9b2f0817
allium-clie2er authors skills/files/data/allium-cli.md blob 41e291e7d600
allium-developer-apie2er authors skills/files/data/allium-developer-api.md blob 8ed60a6cbc5a
blockchaine2er authors skills/files/data/blockchain.md blob 6beaaee99a24
cleaninge2er authors skills/files/data/cleaning.md blob 30ca7723f2c8
crypto-defie2er authors skills/files/data/crypto-defi.md blob 787e86a48d36
figure-spece2er authors skills/files/data/figure-spec.md blob d2c9f59959c5
frede2er authors skills/files/data/fred.md blob 8173078e637e
query-datae2er authors skills/files/data/query-data.md blob d1140adf8806
summary-statistics-schemae2er authors skills/files/data/summary-statistics-schema.md blob ec67ec2d6633
table-spece2er authors skills/files/data/table-spec.md blob 3bb6083c7478
yfinancee2er authors skills/files/data/yfinance.md blob 9e407bc9bdf2
dide2er authors skills/files/econometrics/did.md blob 3d969b0a3bc7
estimation-results-schemae2er authors skills/files/econometrics/estimation-results-schema.md blob fd6baadfe5c0
event-studye2er authors skills/files/econometrics/event-study.md blob 1a8360a2f246
iv-estimatione2er authors skills/files/econometrics/iv-estimation.md blob 1f29b0c346ad
panel-datae2er authors skills/files/econometrics/panel-data.md blob 586249ec87ca
market-microstructuree2er authors skills/files/modeling/market-microstructure.md blob ffeb9c07f53d
anti-slope2er authors skills/files/reasoning/anti-slop.md blob 5a6974a44196
creative-ideatione2er authors skills/files/reasoning/creative-ideation.md blob 9d63d7733f7c
identificatione2er authors skills/files/reasoning/identification.md blob 15540149c56b
noveltye2er authors skills/files/reasoning/novelty.md blob 35602cdc03d6
consistency-checke2er authors skills/files/review/consistency-check.md blob 9cc05037e942
data-qualitye2er authors skills/files/review/data-quality.md blob 1408f7634aa0
referee-simulatione2er authors skills/files/review/referee-simulation.md blob bae61c5458d3
technical-reviewe2er authors skills/files/review/technical-review.md blob 4667357ea72f
writing-qualitye2er authors skills/files/review/writing-quality.md blob 4816a6365e45
context-buildere2er authors skills/files/synthesis/context-builder.md blob 01f557a56aee
replication-packagee2er authors skills/files/synthesis/replication-package.md blob fb6da0d724bd
abstracte2er authors skills/files/writing/abstract.md blob afa804b7aca2
cite-numbers-by-sourcee2er authors skills/files/writing/cite-numbers-by-source.md blob c4f1a9fc7cb2
paper-structuree2er authors skills/files/writing/paper-structure.md blob e618167f6e0e
personal-stylee2er authors skills/files/writing/personal-style.md blob ebd564a65583
scoped-revisione2er authors skills/files/writing/scoped-revision.md blob a2675a0c92d8

Connectors (1)

· by e2er authors · pinned at e2er f59c79fda8bf
ConnectorByPinned version
claude-codee2er authors src/modules/llm/claude_code.py blob 7af2fb88bea1

Cite e2er with this dossier

A paper produced with e2er gives one reference for e2er: this dossier. It credits everyone listed above.

@misc{e2er-c46711b0dc073e96,
  title        = {e2er dossier for "No Cash Flows, New Owners: Spot Bitcoin ETFs and the Origins of Co-movement"},
  author       = {{e2er}},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://e2er.org/d/c46711b0dc073e96}},
  note         = {Workflow, templates, specialists, skills, connectors and models used, pinned by content hash. Dossier sha256:c46711b0dc073e9649d1ca81458e8a1961028c75e7e19b14fac8f5bce6d5ed2d}
}